Members Login
Username 
 
Password 
    Remember Me  
Post Info TOPIC: Don't Count on Unemployment Insurance Now....


Grand Poobah

    



Status: Offline
Posts: 36897
Date:
Don't Count on Unemployment Insurance Now....


(CNN) -- The demand for unemployment benefits across the country has put a strain on state unemployment funds, with such funds in at least 10 states facing insolvency in 2009, according to a policy group.

Nationwide, unemployment reached 6.1 percent, or roughly 9.1 million people, in August, up from 4.7 percent in 2007, and is expected to continue rising. The U.S. Department of Labor said that in August, claims for unemployment benefits reached their highest levels since 2001, in large part because of hurricane activity on the Gulf Coast.

With a weekly average of 474,000 new applicants in August, in a system already looking after about 3.5 million people each week, the growing rate of recipients has nearly depleted unemployment funds in several states.

"There are some real serious problems with unemployment funding that need to be addressed," said Andrew Stettner, deputy director of the National Employment Law Project, a policy group that advocates on behalf of unemployed and low-wage workers.

The group, which tracks legislation and activity related to state and federal unemployment benefits, says that California, Michigan, Missouri, New York, Ohio, South Carolina, Wisconsin, Indiana, Kentucky and Arkansas have less than six months' worth of unemployment trust fund reserves, putting the funds at high risk of insolvency.

On Tuesday, California state officials told lawmakers in a hearing that their unemployment reserve fund was on track to run dry by March based on the state's forecast unemployment rate, which hit 7.7 percent in August.

Last month, South Carolina Employment Security Commission chief Ted Halley said his state's fund was also projected to run out by January. As of August, the state's unemployment rate was 7.6 percent.

Eight more are on the cusp, based on a formula that projects the amount of money the state would need in a recession.

"These states are not ready for a recession, and they're going to see a big hit if we have a protracted job slump," Stettner said. "We're going to see them seriously in the red, but they can take some action and not be swimming in red ink."

Trust fund revenue comes from payroll taxes on employers, based on a tax system set at the state level. But, as the amount paid out in unemployment claims has risen, the terms set to generate revenue largely have remained static, combining with the current economic downturn to create a climate that economists say many states are ill-equipped to bear.

Economists blame the situation on the failure of states to beef up their reserves when the economy was in better shape.

"When times were good, instead of putting money into a trust fund, lawmakers gave in to anti-tax fervor and refused to raise taxes to build up a healthy trust fund," said Ross Eisenbrey, vice president of the Economic Policy Institute. "Now, as payrolls decline and tax revenue declines, there is less money going into funds that were already running low."

Eisenbrey said he expects the health of state trust funds to worsen before it improves.

"The economy has been hit hard the past year. Housing deflation, oil price shocks and flat wages have been reducing consumer demand, and now the credit crisis is causing businesses to lay off more workers, so it's kind of a negative loop that feeds back into the economy," said Eisenbrey, pointing out that median household income has declined since 2000, a first since the World War II era.

When reserves run dry, states can borrow from the federal government's unemployment trust fund. Typically, states have a year to repay the loan without accruing interest.

Michigan, which has the country's highest unemployment rate, at 8.1 percent, is already borrowing from the federal government, even though it is not in the red just yet, according to a spokesman.

"We've been attempting to borrow money and pay it back as soon as we can," said Norm Isotalo, a spokesman for the Michigan Department of Labor and Economic Growth. He attributed rising unemployment claims to the embattled automotive industry and its ripple effect across the state.

"We want to be able to have enough money to cover our forecasts," said Isotalo, adding that the state borrowed from the federal government in the mid-1990s for similar reasons.

But the forecast is not all doom and gloom, provided the states shore up their reserves, with the help of the federal government and through initiatives of their own, Stettner said.

Historically, first and fourth quarters are low periods for generating revenue that state trust funds so desperately need. But Stettner's group advocates an increase in the tax base that contributes to state trust funds, a move that could be a hard sell considering the timing.


The group has also pushed for legislation that would allow the federal government to transfer funds from its reserve to the states, provided they put programs into place that would loosen the requirements for unemployment benefits eligibility among low-wage workers and part-time workers.

"Many of the states facing solvency challenges could be going into red as early as 2009, but it's still early enough for them to get out of it," he said. "The trick is to make a system that's self-financing."



__________________
"And like Web, I enjoy throwing JR under the bus.  Problem is, it's usually under the special bus that I ride every day". Ghostdancer 12-18-09


Cleverly Disguised As A Responsible Adult

Status: Offline
Posts: 6700
Date:

hmm Great.

__________________
-- Heather: "I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!"


Bad Biker Granny



Status: Offline
Posts: 20960
Date:

ohmygod.gif At least Kansas isn't on there yet. YAY for me.

As my sister says, "Last one out of Michigan, turn out the lights!" ... of course she lives in the Detroit area. hmm.gif

__________________
MM

That which does not kill me postpones the inevitable.


Grand Poobah

    



Status: Offline
Posts: 36897
Date:

Yesterday, a poll by CNN/Opinion Research Corp showed that six out of ten Americans believe that the US economy will sink into a depression. The people who conducted the survey made sure to define a depression is before getting answers.

The list: 25% unemployment rate; widespread bank failures; and millions of Americans homeless and unable to feed their families. Even with that litany of horrors, people were willing to bet things will get that desperate.

Economists argued that the view of the common man reflected in the poll is flawed, saying the government's agencies, such as the FDIC, Fed, and Treasury, can keep the world from that kind of harm.

It would be hard to pick a point in the last fifty years when the level of despair has reached such an improbable level. And, there is nothing left to turn that back in the right direction except by having people go to work.

The collapse of Wall St, as it has been known and operated for years, is now nearly complete. The government repossessed the financial services business and probably did so for a number of good reasons.The nation's attention has turned to interest rates and economic stimulus, but none of that will matter much because, so far, none of it is working well.

That leaves jobs, which are talked about once or twice a month when the Commerce Department puts out statistics. The employment rate has not hogged the front pages the way that the Congressional testimony of Dick Fuld or the $700 billion bailout have. That is wrong-headed. Jobs are all that is left still standing in the rubble of the economy that Americans have known for the last several decades.

By way of intuition, most people would think that a housing crisis would result in a tremendous loss of employment. But, workers who have been thrown out of their homes can still work. As a matter of fact, they are likely to have a greater incentive to do so for the sake of keeping a roof over their heads. The average person may face $4 gasoline, a 21% interest rate on his huge credit card balances, and pay $10 for a loaf of bread, but he can still work all day long, even if he is getting poorer. Being out of work would accelerate the process of impoverishment and there is not much satisfaction in being completely broke.

Given the level of catastrophe that most people believe has hit the American capitalist system, it is a wonder that official unemployment has only gone from 5.1% in March to 6.1% last month. After a brief consideration of the dynamics of the workforce, no one should surprised that people are still workingat least for the time being. They produce so much that they are still of service to many enterprises. At the same time, their real wages have not gone up an iota in five years. They are some of the cheapest labor in the world.

Almost every statistic from the US government and those think tanks with enough money to employ an economist says that the American worker is the most productive in the world. Pound-for-pound and hour-by-hour he can bury his counterparts In China, Russia, India and Easter Island.

With a recession upon us and savaging our home values and bank accounts, jobs are all the US has left. If unemployment moves to 7% or above, there are no more buttresses to hold the walls. The economy is overrun.

The indexes of manufacturing and capital expenditures and recent warnings from large corporations give every indication that there will not be enough work to go around. The available employment statistics are bogus prior to any sensible analysis. About 4% of the American workforce is not listed as unemployed because some workers have given up looking. They have lost either will or hope and have dropped off the map of the potentially productive. Add these people in and a fairer picture of the jobs market would show that 10% of those who could work are not working.

If unemployment moves to 10% as it is measured by the Commerce Department, with the shadow world of people out of work added in, the actual number will be closer to 15%. That may not be the 25% that defines a depression, but it will certainly feel like it to people who were not in the workforce in 1935.

The federal government does not do much to directly support jobs. It may buy up mortgages and save big banks. By doing so, the attention has been shifted away from the person who gets up and goes to work every day. He is the last line between a modest recession and a long deep period of economic contraction that almost no one alive has seen



__________________
"And like Web, I enjoy throwing JR under the bus.  Problem is, it's usually under the special bus that I ride every day". Ghostdancer 12-18-09
Page 1 of 1  sorted by
 
Quick Reply

Please log in to post quick replies.

Tweet this page Post to Digg Post to Del.icio.us


Create your own FREE Forum
Report Abuse
Powered by ActiveBoard