Two of the big three auto companies are claiming bankruptcy isn't an option, that they would just have to liquidate.
People are wondering if that's just a scare tactic, since there's no reason they shouldn't be able to reorganize under chapter 11 and come out a better company with some hard to make changes in their business plan.
But one person made an excellent point. Let's make the $25 billion dollar bailout provide protection for the workers! Let the three do what they gotta do to reorganize and we can allocate the 25 billion to only go to help those who lose their jobs, need retraining, etc.
That way, the companies have all the incentive in the world to TRULY try to right their ships. They got no free money to count on and the employees have some level of protection should they fail.
I feel a lot better about that than just handing money to the companies.
Of course, I should point out that I'm not in favor of paying UAW wages to newly unemployed auto workers. They'll just have to scrape by on $20 or $25 an hour. I think they can do it.
I've stayed away from this topic since it first appeared here on the forum, but I gotta chime in now. JR, there aren't many UAW workers left that are making $20 an hour. I know a lot of people that started working for GM within the past 5 years and they make $12 an hour. GM's health insurance benefits have been severely cut for new employees; many employees now have to pay a lot of out of pocket deductibles. Some employees have given up their GM health insurance and have gone under their spouse's health insurance because it was better coverage.
Since I live in MI and MI is the automotive capital, I hate to see the big 3 in this kind of mess. The potential is there for millions of people to lose their jobs....not just those that are directly employed with GM, Ford, or Chrysler but also all the other small factories that supply parts for the big 3, which will in turn trickle down to all the other jobs that aren't even tied into the auto industry. A melt down of the auto industry is going to have severe, far reaching consequences.
My family is worried right now about my dad's pension. He's been retired for 15 years and will be 70 years old on his next birthday. I know men and women in their late 70's, early 80's that are GM retirees and and they really need their monthly pension checks. At the time my dad was hired in the shop, 401K's didn't exist. By the time they came into existence, it was too late for my dad to invest in it for his retirement due to his having one year left to work before retirement. 401K's are ok if you're just starting out in your 20's, but for people in their 50's you'll never have enough in one to last through a retirement.
I'm angry with the big 3 for all the jobs they sent overseas when NAFTA came into existence and also for sending so many jobs to Mexico. Yes, these companies helped create the mess they're now in.......I don't feel sorry for them in this aspect. But there are many, many people throughout this country that stand to lose their livelihood and their retirement funds through no fault of their own.
You talk of retraining these workers, you're in favor of using the bailout money for that. Ok, but once they're retrained, where are they going to get a job? And if they do, is it going to pay enough for them to support their families and keep them in their homes? I seriously doubt it. And what about the older workers that are still left at the big 3? Where are those people going to get a job? It's supposed to be illegal for employers to age discriminate, but we all know they do it anyway no matter how they hide it.
I know for a fact the economy here in MI is worse than it is anywhere else in the country. We have no jobs here. Period. If a job does open, there are literally thousands of people applying for it.....for one job. Every year we are churning out college graduates and high school graduates that can't find a job to support themselves, let alone support a family. These "kids" are leaving MI in droves, going to other states trying to find any kind of a job. This isn't news to people that live in MI because it's been happening here for the last 10 years.
The auto industry is MI's largest employer, and this factors in all the small factories/companies that make parts for the auto industry. We need these jobs the big 3 provides! Without them, MI will be a true ghost state.
The auto industry is asking for a loan. They say this money will be paid back. What about all those millions they gave to AIG? AIG won't be paying any of it back.
I agree, it's a royal mess, one that shouldn't have happened. But it did. I fear and worry about how many more hits MI's economy can take. My state is flat a$$ broke; we have no money to invest in new technology to bring new jobs into our state. I worry about the "trickle down" effect, that in all likelihood will happen, on the other jobs in MI that aren't directly tied to the auto industry but will directly feel the effects if the big 3 become history. As they say, "It ain't gonna be pretty."
Well, you're right there Ghost so I have to assume you know what you're talking about.
All of my information on this topic has come from talking heads on the cable news networks that say the UAW is getting employees $40 an hour.
One fact I've seen repeated in several interviews and in an article on MSNBC.COM is that the average hourly cost for a GM worker is $73 compared to $42 for a Toyota worker. (the numbers may be a dollar or two off, but that was the general amount, low 70s to low 40s).
They say that's a result of the union labor and incredible benefits.
They also pointed out that the contract these guys have had allows them to retire after 30 years, so they've got a ton of young people in their 50's that are on pensions that could conceivably go another 40 years.
Like I said though, my only information is what I read online and see on TV. I have no one in my circle of friends or family that work as a UAW member.
Oh, and actually ALL of the bailout money is supposed to be paid back.
It turned my stomach to hear an auto exec guy say on MSNBC "they're giving $40 billion to AIG, they can give us $25 billion" That is a SCARY attitude.
GM claims they're losing $2 billion a month. How is their share of $25 billion going to do anything more than put off the inevitable.
I understand the fears for all the individuals, but we have to be realistic and decide if the bailout will actually SAVE the companies. If it will, fine, then we'll do it and they'll pay us back. But if it's just putting off the inevitable then what's the point? Another six months before we deal with the pain?
As a taxpayer I'm tired of hearing about bailouts and until they can provide solid evidence the money will be used wisely, jobs will be saved and their future will be more secure (I know there's no guarantees) I say no way.
In the hey day of the big 3, you are right... the UAW workers made really good money and had great retirement plans. At present, most of the UAW workers are making $12 - $14 per hour. Over the years, the pay rates have declined as have the benefits packages, like Ghost said. None the less, the big 3 are still responsible for the retirement packages from the old union contracts. That is a tremendous financial burden now that they are not making the money that they once were. Most estimates are that the cost of those benefits packages adds around $2000 to each and every car they sell.
Don't get me wrong... I don't begrudge the people who worked for it and were fortunate enough to get in on those union contracts. They put in their years, they deserve to get what was promised them. Not unlike how the federal government has mismanaged Social Security, the big 3 have mismanaged their retirement funds. It is going to be really hard to bail them out with that legacy financial burden.
My brother in law is a Chrysler employee there in the Detroit area. My sister works for a steel company who's major clients are the auto makers. Both of them are worried for the future of their jobs.
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MM
That which does not kill me postpones the inevitable.
Unfortunately I do have family and friends that work in the industry, or did but are now retired. My oldest brother retired out of the Navy a few years ago, came home to MI, couldn't find a job for 2 years. He's now working for a company that makes the sun visors for GM cars. He makes $8 an hour, no health benefits, no paid sick days, no paid vacation days. If it wasn't for his pension he receives from the government, he wouldn't be able to support himself, let alone his 3 kids. Every 3 months he gets laid off from this place.......company says they have no work orders to fill, they'll call him and the other workers when they have more work orders. This is a horrible way to make a living.....never knowing when you're going to be laid off, let alone when/if you're going to be called back to work.
I don't know where the figures are coming from that you posted.....$73 an hour per worker. Back in the 80's this would probably have been in the ballpark, but I seriously doubt it's even close to the gate today.
Well, I'm stunned as to why they're saying this stuff on television and in print and not being called on it then. Someone needs to set them straight.
Is it a matter of seniority? Do you START at $14 but after 20 years you're up to $35?
There seems to be a lot of conflicting information out there. And again, I REALLY want them to wait on any aid until actual numbers are made public. These so called experts apparently are way off, but surely there's a reason for it.
JR, I don't think there are step up increases in pay the longer you work for them. I could be wrong but I don't think I am.
Here in MI we're screamin' mad at all those figures they keep tossing out. We know those figures aren't accurate, but the media doesn't listen. I also think these inflated figures are being tossed out by southern states higher-ups......the states that don't have unions or big factories. This of course is just my opinion.
Well I think the automakers themselves are putting the numbers out.
When you look at the above chart, assuming the numbers are accurate, or even close to accurate, how long can any of the big three stay solvent? Not very long I would think.
It's a very scary time. If any one of the three go bankrupt it could bring down the other two.
But they have to show us how they're going to fix the situation that got them here. This isn't solely about the economic downturn.
Now maybe you can tell me what you know about this fact. I've read and heard a dozen times that the UAW contract demands a certain number of man hours per car be spent. A guy from one of the manufacturers said even if they can streamline the production process and become more cost effective it doesn't matter because the UAW mandates every car involve a certain amount of man hours.
I have to admit, I'm biased against unions, I HATE THEM, but all of this stuff is being said on national television and in print by Senators and auto company execs. I can't understand how they could be making it up.
I don't think those numbers are a true reflection of what the employees are actually making. I think those numbers include salary, benefits, training, etc. From time to time I have to create "Level Of Effort" statements for the projects I work on. These are basically time and cost estimates for what we believe it will cost for to develop and implement a project. For purposes of calculating those things, my time is billed by the company at $85 / hour. Trust me on this... I make nowhere near that.
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MM
That which does not kill me postpones the inevitable.
right, of course. They include tax liability on behalf of the company.
No ones saying they make $72 an hour. This is the businesses cost per employee. The employee may only see 1/4'th or 1/5'th of that. Here's a breakdown from another site.
There is a web address at the bottom. This information comes directly from the Chrystler Media Breifing Book.
Even here, with base wages of $29, only $18 or $20 of that may show up as Gross income on an employee check, because the company pays a share of the taxes too.
If it is I'm NOT begrudging these people the great bene's. If I had a chance to get em' I'd sure as hell take em'. But as a business owner this stuff is crushing in a harsh economic environment.
I still blame the companies for ever agreeing to some of this stuff. This is the type of thing that was common 50 years ago, not today.
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UAW employees also receive the following extraordinary provisions:
* 30-and-Out contracts. UAW employees work under a 30-and-Out contract that allows them to retire with generous pension benefits after 30 years on the job, irrespective of age.
* Seven weeks' vacation. A Chrysler worker with 15 years' tenure was entitled to 34.5 paid holidays and vacation days in 2006--seven weeks in paid time off.[7] This is three weeks more paid vacation than the average private sector worker with similar tenure.
* Paid not to work. Under UAW contracts, workers whom the automakers let go when plants close are not laid off. Instead, after exhausting regular unemployment payments from the automakers and the government, they are transferred to a JOBS bank where they are paid nearly full wages to not work.
Sorry, I don't know anything about a set number of man hours spent making a car. My dad might know more about this. I'll ask him when he gets back from deer hunting.
I am a strong believer in unions. My entire family have been union workers......my ancestors were unionized brick layers and GM workers. My husband is a unionized employee for the City of Saginaw. The unions fought hard for better working conditions and a fair wage. Sadly today, the unions are no longer the "powerhouses" they once were. I could get into a political debate right here, right now about why they no longer are, but I won't.
We could go round and round on figures, and yeah, it will have to do with their (the big 3) workers being unionized compared to the Japanese factories here in the U.S. that aren't.
I really do agree with you that the big 3 got themselves into this mess, and yes, it now costs a small fortune to buy one of their products. I don't like it anymore than the rest of you. But I stand by my statement that something has to be done to save them.
It should be interesting to see what they do. I think ultimately they'll give them some financial aid.
I'm glad we talked about it because you forced me to dig a little deeper. Now I've got five different windows open with various reports and stories on the industry. I don't like debating when I don't know where my numbers are coming from.
Oh and by the way Ghost, what's with the "I stayed away from this topic when it first appeared on the forum" stuff?
Since when do you shy away from a debate? Surely you didn't think I figured we'd AGREE on it did you? I knew you'd be on the other side of the fence from me. That's just how we roll.
If it is I'm NOT begrudging these people the great bene's. If I had a chance to get em' I'd sure as hell take em'. But as a business owner this stuff is crushing in a harsh economic environment.
I still blame the companies for ever agreeing to some of this stuff. This is the type of thing that was common 50 years ago, not today.
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UAW employees also receive the following extraordinary provisions:
* 30-and-Out contracts. UAW employees work under a 30-and-Out contract that allows them to retire with generous pension benefits after 30 years on the job, irrespective of age.
* Seven weeks' vacation. A Chrysler worker with 15 years' tenure was entitled to 34.5 paid holidays and vacation days in 2006--seven weeks in paid time off.[7] This is three weeks more paid vacation than the average private sector worker with similar tenure.
* Paid not to work. Under UAW contracts, workers whom the automakers let go when plants close are not laid off. Instead, after exhausting regular unemployment payments from the automakers and the government, they are transferred to a JOBS bank where they are paid nearly full wages to not work.
Ok let's see:
The 30 and out rule was in effect when my dad retired. Not sure if it still exists now. I'll find out.
My dad got 4 weeks paid vacation after 10 years of service, but it's been a while since he worked, so I don't know what GM gets now. His paid holidays were: Thanksgiving, Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, New Year's Day, Veteran's Day, Martin Luther King's birthday (this was added just before he retired), Fourth of July.......I think that's it, but I'll double check with him.
The Job Banks are part of receiving unemployment. You have to sign up in the job bank before you can get unemployment. They aren't being paid any additional money "not to work." That statement is false.
Oh and by the way Ghost, what's with the "I stayed away from this topic when it first appeared on the forum" stuff?
Since when do you shy away from a debate? Surely you didn't think I figured we'd AGREE on it did you? I knew you'd be on the other side of the fence from me. That's just how we roll.
These are recent cutbacks on behalf of the employees. This occured in 2007
Under the 2007 contract, the Big Three and the UAW agreed to the following:
To transfer, starting in 2010, retiree health care obligations to a Voluntary Employee Benefits Association (VEBA) run by the UAW. The automakers agreed to collectively pay $60 billion into the VEBA, after which time the UAW would have full responsibility for providing retiree health benefits. This agreement takes the cost of providing health benefits off the Big Three's balance sheets.
To limit time in the JOBS bank to two years.
To require workers in the JOBS bank to accept new employment offers.
To create a two-tiered wage structure. Detroit automakers may now hire entry-level workers for "non-core" positions (those not directly involved in manufacturing automobiles) for roughly $26 an hour in wages and benefits. Although these entry-level workers may transfer to the higher paid vehicle assembly jobs as vacancies occur, they will never receive retiree health benefits.
So based on this, it appears that the talking heads are throwing out 2006 figures as current when clearly SOME concessions reduced those figures as of 2007. How much I don't know, but clearly the above changes would over time lower labor costs.
GM estimates the new contract will eventually cut 70 percent of their labor cost gap with the Japanese manufacturers.[8] Average compensation will fall to $54 an hour once the contract takes full effect.It will, however, take years for the Big Three to realize these cost savings. The cost reductions affect only a minority of workers and occur gradually as current workers retire.
The vast majority of UAW workers in Detroit today still earn $75 an hour, and the Detroit automakers must still find $60 billion to finance the VEBA. Detroit's labor costs will not fall as much or as rapidly enough as the Big Three need to restore their competitive position and remain solvent.
Had the UAW made similar concessions in the early 1990s, it might have prevented the Big Three from falling into such dire economic straits. It did not, however, and the new contract is too little, too late to keep the Detroit automakers solvent.
Now based on THIS information, if they can prove that a bailout will bridge the gap between now and when they can be financially viable again, I may not be opposed to the government lending them a helping hand because it's in the interest of the entire country.
I knew the UAW was going to take over their health care. My dad and I talked about this. It could be a good thing or it could go horribly wrong; time will tell.
See, I'm outta touch with the Job Banks thing. I wasn't sure how it used to worded but I knew it was tied in with the laid off workers having to sign up for it in order to receive any unemployment benefits.
The two-tiered wage thing......that was another thing I said I wasn't sure about; it must be something new they negotiated and settled on.
When GM broke up and split off into Delphi, Delphi then had a totally different contract than what they used to have under GM. These are the new changes Delphi has made to their original contracts. It's still GM, but it isn't, if that makes any sense.
Had the UAW made similar concessions in the early 1990s, it might have prevented the Big Three from falling into such dire economic straits. It did not, however, and the new contract is too little, too late to keep the Detroit automakers solvent.
Had the Big 3 not have outsourced so many jobs, the union would have made more concessions.
1970's is where we (u.s. industry) lost it. Autos, Cranes, everything. I worked at a microfilm company, my stepdad's, during the seventies and eighties. We did business with Delco, Rexnord, Rexworks, Harnischfeger, Bendix, Waukesha Dresser (Engine), Mecury Outboard, Evinrude, Johnson Controls, GE. I'm always stunned when I think of all of these "great" companies.
I too have a couple of friends/aquaintances that worked for Delco/Delphi/Saturn
When they were laid off, they made quite a bit more per week than I did. Most of them didn't attend any college or vacational school. Jobs were handed down, passed on. Training on the job. Employee discounts on vehicles etc. All that's cool but, tough on the rest of the people that go to work to buy the car.
Now, my sister and brother in law work for Honda America. Not directly associated with the Automaker but, Honda no matter.
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All I wanted was a Pepsi, and SHE wouldn't Give it to me.
Did anyone see where someone in Congress asked the big wigs at the big three automakers if they were willing to sell their private jets and return to their homes via a commerical airline? Then immediately after that when no one offered, he goes on record that no one had volunteered. Although it was typical media sensational that got to me, it is a huge point. They want to save the industry only to a point that it helps them maintain their lifestyles. I think that all three automakers need some shaking up. I hope that we don't help them out without some shift at the top.
I did see that Ruby. Web had pointed out earlier in the morning how they had flown out there on their private jets at a cost of nearly $20,000 when they could have taken a commercial flight for a few hundred.
I've also read a lot about how the CEO's REALLY want to avoid bankruptcy because it would almost certainly mean they lose their jobs, whereas with the bailouts they can continue to run the show.
More and more I'm leaning toward thinking bankruptcy is the way to go. Just from a business perspective.
They got to this point on their own, all three of them. If they couldn't avoid running their businesses into the ground to this point, why would I believe a cash loan will suddenly turn them into better business men with better business models?